NCAA Tournament March Madness

#166 Austin Peay

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Austin Peay projects as a team that needs to secure the Atlantic Sun automatic bid because its nonconference slate produced no eye‑catching neutral or road victories and a string of damaging away losses has left the at-large résumé thin. The resume’s best moments are clear: road wins at Air Force and UNC Greensboro and dependable conference success highlighted by victories over FGCU and Stetson plus strong home results against FGCU and North Florida that show the Governors can dominate league competition. The worst moments, namely setbacks at Wyoming, Mississippi, Tulsa, Kent and at UTRGV, are exactly the kinds of losses committees remember and they blunt any argument for an at-large invite. Several conference games remain — including a home meeting with Stetson and road trips to Eastern Kentucky and North Florida along with matchups against Lipscomb and Bellarmine — so there are opportunities to sharpen the resume, but those wins will only do so much compared with clinching the league crown. Given the balance of competent conference play, middling nonconference returns and consequential road defeats, the cleanest path for Austin Peay into March is to win its conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Air Force340W74-54
11/11@Wyoming102L79-65
11/15@UNC Greensboro295W69-63
11/18@Mississippi68L72-65
11/21@Tulsa59L84-75
11/25N Illinois315W77-59
12/3@Kent147L96-84
12/7@UTRGV199L63-50
12/12ETSU134W76-75
1/1North Florida343W102-83
1/3Jacksonville286W71-68
1/8@FGCU214W82-71
1/10@Stetson323W81-69
1/15E Kentucky254W74-72
1/17@Lipscomb160L82-78
1/22FGCU214W83-62
1/24Stetson32388%
1/28@E Kentucky25457%
1/31@West Georgia33777%
2/5Lipscomb16060%
2/7North Alabama33490%
2/11@Queens NC16238%
2/14Bellarmine29383%
2/19@North Florida34380%
2/21@Jacksonville28664%
2/25Cent Arkansas19768%
2/28@Bellarmine29366%