NCAA Tournament March Madness
#165 Austin Peay
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
The projection that Austin Peay will need to secure its conference’s automatic berth follows from a resume full of solid but not signature wins and a string of damaging losses away from home; the nonconference slate features difficult true road trips that ended in losses at Wyoming and Mississippi and ill-timed setbacks against Tulsa and Kent that blunt any at-large argument. The team’s best moments are clear road and neutral victories at places like Air Force and UNC Greensboro and a series of league road wins at FGCU and Stetson that prove it can travel, but those wins come against opponents the committee views as middling and are counterbalanced by ugly losses at Bellarmine and at Central Arkansas that expose inconsistency. With high-end wins scarce and bad losses still prominent on the ledger, the cleanest path to the bracket runs through the Atlantic Sun tournament where Austin Peay will have a chance to convert its road toughness into a resume-changing title.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/8 | @Air Force | 345 | W74-54 |
| 11/11 | @Wyoming | 97 | L79-65 |
| 11/15 | @UNC Greensboro | 302 | W69-63 |
| 11/18 | @Mississippi | 78 | L72-65 |
| 11/21 | @Tulsa | 55 | L84-75 |
| 11/25 | N Illinois | 333 | W77-59 |
| 12/3 | @Kent | 156 | L96-84 |
| 12/7 | @UTRGV | 125 | L63-50 |
| 12/12 | ETSU | 143 | W76-75 |
| 1/1 | North Florida | 335 | W102-83 |
| 1/3 | Jacksonville | 293 | W71-68 |
| 1/8 | @FGCU | 240 | W82-71 |
| 1/10 | @Stetson | 303 | W81-69 |
| 1/15 | E Kentucky | 294 | W74-72 |
| 1/17 | @Lipscomb | 197 | L82-78 |
| 1/22 | FGCU | 240 | W83-62 |
| 1/23 | Stetson | 303 | W73-65 |
| 1/28 | @E Kentucky | 294 | W90-82 |
| 1/31 | @West Georgia | 304 | W81-78 |
| 2/4 | Lipscomb | 197 | W87-76 |
| 2/7 | North Alabama | 341 | W91-62 |
| 2/11 | @Queens NC | 192 | W95-87 |
| 2/14 | Bellarmine | 281 | W90-70 |
| 2/19 | @North Florida | 335 | W77-76 |
| 2/21 | @Jacksonville | 293 | W65-61 |
| 2/25 | Cent Arkansas | 150 | L93-88 |
| 2/28 | @Bellarmine | 281 | L111-97 |
| 3/6 | (N)Stetson | 303 | W69-60 |